Employment Problem in India and the Missing Middle

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ABSTRACT

 

 

An important aspect of the recent growth pattern of the Indian economy has been the apparent

sluggishness in the output and employment growth in the manufacturing sector, in spite of a

period of relatively high growth rate of GDP. The contrast with the experience of China, not to

mention the historical experience of developed countries, including those of East Asia, has been

widely noted. This paper has attempted to bring into focus an aspect of the manufacturing

sector of India, which might indeed be the heart of the problem. This is the development and

persistence of the peculiar size structure with its ‘missing middle’— even when we concentrate

our attention on the

 

 

non-household

 

sector of manufacturing employing more than 5 workers. The

problem of the ‘missing middle’ in Indian manufacturing is studied in the context of the

experience of other Asian economies, and its implications for growth and equity are analyzed.

The Indian experience of manufacturing growth contrasts with, on the one hand, the more

welfare-enhancing historical experience of East Asia economies with their more balanced size

distribution of firms, and on the other hand, the more problematic experience of a few countries

like Thailand and China, with the distribution markedly skewed to large firms. The paper

concludes with an outline of possible critical factors in the development and persistence of this

phenomenon in the Indian economy—a topic which is the subject of an on-going research

project.

 

 

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Copyright 2009 - Dipak Mazumdar - Pagelines/Alwinian
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